uncertainty

"The twenty-first century is experiencing a watershed moment defined by chaos and uncertainty, as one emergency cascades into another, underscoring the larger dynamics of change that are fueling instability across the world. Since the global financial crisis of 2008, people have increasingly lost trust in institutions and elites, while seizing upon new digital tools to sidestep traditional gatekeepers. As a result, powerful new voices - once regarded as radical, unorthodox or marginal - are disrupting the status quo in politics, business and culture"--Provided by publisher.

"On October 16, 1987 meteorologists predicted a nice, breezy day in the south of England. Instead, the countryside was battered by the worst storm to hit the country in over 300 years. Twenty-two people were killed and damages totaled more than 3.3 million dollars. In the aftermath, scientists asked themselves: why was the forecast wrong? What could have been done to predict this? Meteorologist Tim Palmer discovered the answer: it comes down to embracing chaos. In The Primacy of Doubt, Palmer tells the story of how scientists learned to accurately predict the weather, and how we can use those insights to predict everything else, from the workings of the brain and how it creates consciousness to how quantum mechanics enables everything we see to emerge from just four basic particles"--Provided by publisher.

"Two psychologists help teens improve their awareness about how uncertainty can trigger feelings of anxiety, fear, worry, and self-doubt, and provide 10 skill-based tips from CBT and ACT to encourage teens to take smart risks, stop avoiding, and be more flexible as they develop a tolerance of uncertainty and learn to take valued actions toward creating positive change in their lives and the larger world"--Provided by publisher.

Explores the different ways that uncertainty arises in science, how scientists reach conclusions in the face of uncertainty, and offers advice on how people can muddle through uncertainty to find the facts.