forecasting

The conservative stalwart proposes a bold vision of the future: America is on the cusp of a renaissance, a new birth of technological and scientific innovation that will dramatically transform the prosperity and quality of life of every American. Our biggest enemy? Special interest groups, powerful lobbyists, and government bureaucrats who are determined to squash, control, or prevent these innovations--and permanently change the future of America.

Examines the abilities of some people, defined as "superforecasters," who seem to be able to make highly accurate predictions about the future, such as in economics, politics, and warfare. Describes the common denominators uniting a range of superforecasters interviewed by the authors--such as probabilistic thinking and using a wide range of sources for evidence--and offers advice for developing accurate prediction skills.

"Gets to the root of the most important trends reshaping society today and offers a deeper understanding of these dynamics to prepare tomorrow's leaders for what comes next: education and learning in the 21st century; energy and environmental challenges; demographic shifts; technology trends; public and personal leadership; economic pressures; work-life balance; international realities"--Back cover.

Psychologist Matthew Hertenstein discusses how intuition and focusing on small clues can be used to make predictions.

Predicts events that will occur in the near and distant future, including "In the next three months, 1,000 households in Zimbabwe will be hooked up to solar electricity.".

Introduces the science concept of prediction through the use of simple sentences and everyday examples.

A collection of readings, pictures, and projects which suggest how everyday life, work, and play may be influenced by new technology in the future.